Citaat van MullieBliksem, woensdag 17 augustus 2011, 21:18 uur haha er zijn 3 snackbarren hier in panningen ,
maar ik werk in helden dus xD!


Ken er teveel daar haha, me ex woont in jouw dorp. Kim kurvers. Zal je vast wel kennen.

Maar ontopic: Over donderwolken gesproken ik verwacht morgen een: "Kim".

Citaat van arend, woensdag 17 augustus 2011, 23:29 uur OK, begrijp het, beter niet aandringen dan

Als Johann het ziet zal hij ze wel plaatsen, maar kunnen dat niet al te vaak doen want is van zijn werk

Het ziet er allemaal mooi uit morgen!!
iemand die zin heeft om te chasen en auto heeft en in de buurt van amersfoort woont?? stuur maar een pb naar mij

Ze schuiven het op bij het KNMI, het zou eerst om 15 uur beginnen nu om 17 uur....

Estofex



A level 1 was issued for portions of Spain, southern Portugal, France, the Alpine region, Germany, and the Benelux countries mainly for severe wind gusts and large hail.

A warm air mass is present over south-western Europe, characterized by steep mid-level lapse rates. The overlap with rich boundary-layer moisture near a warm front over France and northern Italy leads to CAPE in the order of 1000 J/kg. On Thursday, this warm air mass will spread north-eastward into the Alps, most of France, and southern Germany as indicated by latest models. Ahead of an approaching cold front, the low-level moisture is forecast to increase especially over France and south-western Germany, where CAPE of 1000 J/kg seems to be likely even with limited insolation.

Early showers and thunderstorms are forecast along the frontal boundary from central and northern France to central Germany. In the afternoon hours, increasing QG forcing is expected to lead to cyclogenesis over northern France, and models indicate a deepening surface low spreading north-eastward across Germany in the evening hours. Strong low-level convergence will assist for numerous thunderstorms that will likely merge into clusters, spreading eastward.

Severe thunderstorms are forecast over a broad area as the mid-level flow will strengthen, leading to a deep layer bulk shear of 15 to 20 m/s. This will enable well-organized thunderstorms including supercells especially to the north of the Pyrenees, where favourably veering profiles are most likely. Large or very large hail is expected to be the dominant threat across the southern portions of the risk area, and severe gusts or tornadoes will be less likely. A few events are not ruled out, though, as the low-level vertical wind shear increases in the evening hours.

From central/northern France to south-western/central Germany, stronger dynamics are forecast to compensate the weaker instability. Strong low-level convergence near the frontal boundary and the low-pressure centre will likely support deep convection that may be elevated to the north of the warm front. Storms that root to the boundary-layer will encounter strong vertical wind shear and will likely organize into bowing segments or supercells. Severe wind gusts are forecast. In the evening hours, strong low-level vertical wind shear is forecast to favour tornadoes. Large hail is not ruled out with the most intense storms.

The storms are expected to cluster along the cold front spreading across Germany in the night hours, while the severe threat will gradually decrease due to stabilization. Along the southern portions of the frontal boundary from south-western Germany across central France, ongoing convective activity is expected to pose a slight threat of large hail through-out the night.

| Gewijzigd: 18 augustus 2011, 00:00 uur, door Verwijderde_gebruiker_01

Lig exact op de lvl 1 grens, haha.

Citaat van koen17, woensdag 17 augustus 2011, 23:58 uur Lig exact op de lvl 1 grens, haha.

Ik dus ook, we gaan het zien morgen

wat mij tevens opvalt is dat de neerslag signaal gestegen is en de temperatuur gedaald is in de laatste 3 runs...

iemand bevestiging?

hier plaatje met nieuwe pluim GFS
| Gewijzigd: 18 augustus 2011, 00:13 uur, door smoke_soldier